Insufficient raw materials spread to the acrylic fiber market——Analysis and prediction of the ups and downs of acrylic fibers
At present, the spot price of acrylonitrile products on the international market has fallen by a large margin, reaching 70-85 US dollars (t price, the same below). Although some middlemen in the Asian region have already lowered the price of goods in the hands to between 1,360 and 1,365 U.S. dollars (CFR Asia), the intention prices of some downstream buyers are still hovering between 1330 and 1350 U.S. dollars (CFR Asia). At present, the market price of acrylonitrile is uneven, and the ex-factory price of acrylonitrile products in the domestic market is generally between 12300 and 12800 yuan, and the price in some regions is 12950~13100 yuan; the price of imported products is generally 12800 to 13,000 yuan, and the transaction price It is 12800 to 12900 yuan.
At the same time, the demand for acrylic fiber staple fiber products in the domestic market is still not satisfactory. The countdown to the Chinese New Year has entered a countdown. In many parts of the country, the turnover of many yarn manufacturers is very light, and the transaction price of the acrylic yarn market is also falling. For example, the price of 32S-42S all-acrylic yarn is between 22,000 and 22500 yuan. 15S ~ 20S price between 20500 ~ 20900 yuan. The scarcity of foreign orders and sluggish domestic sales have made it difficult for yarn manufacturers to suffer. Due to weak demand, manufacturers are also limited in production and it is difficult to ensure price stability.
The overall sales of acrylic staple fiber and staple fiber are not as good as those of acrylic fiber staple fiber products. Some companies have reduced the market sales price in order to reduce inventory, which has resulted in a relatively confusing transaction of product prices in the market. For example, the transaction price of individual specifications in the East China market is only 17,000 yuan. In respect of imported products, the general transaction price for 3D high-yield shortened fiber in Asia is 1.77 to 1.79 US$/kg (CIF China); the volume of ordinary acrylic staple fiber is relatively small, and the general market price is 1.75 to 1 $77/kg (CIF China).
At present, the market condition of the acrylic fiber tow product can also be achieved, because the sharp reduction of the RMB tonnage of imported tow bundles has made the sale of some of the acrylic fiber tow produced by domestic manufacturers better, and there are also cases where the individual specifications of the acrylic tow product are in short supply. At present, Shanghai Petrochemical's acrylic 3D tow price is 18,000 yuan. The sale of near-acrylic tow bundles was also good. The transaction price was roughly US$1.81/kg (CIF China). The new Montessori price was quoted at $1.82/kg, and the tonnage of the previous bonded warehouse was sold out, at the time the price was $1.78/kg. In addition, there is little change in the acrylic wool tops market, and prices and downstream demand are relatively stable, such as 6D×102mm and 3D×102mm specifications. Prices of Shanghai Jinshan and Jilin Qifeng are stable between 18800 and 18900 RMB. Shanghai Jinyang The price is also stable at more than 19,000 yuan.
In early December, domestic acrylic fiber prices showed a slight consolidation trend. The price of 1.5D×38mm of acrylic staple fiber dropped from 17,800 yuan in late November to 17,650 yuan in early December; the price of acrylic high shrinkage yarn 3D×64mm has been running at 17,550 yuan; the price of acrylic semi-dulled top 3D remained at 18400 Yuan; Acrylic cashmere 28S prices are stable at 23,300 yuan; Acrylic imitation rabbit hair prices are also hovering at 24,700 yuan.
While acrylic fiber mainstream prices are consolidating and operating, the price of acrylic yarn is relatively stable. The price of acrylic single yarn 21S runs from late November to early December at 20,900 yuan; the price of acrylic double yarn 21S stays at 21,300 yuan.
In addition, the prices of acrylic tow have also kept a slight fluctuation. For example, the sales price of acrylic fiber 3D in Taiwan with the optical fiber bundle outside the disk rose from 1785 US dollars to 1795 US dollars; the price of the internal disk dropped from 18,200 yuan to 17,800 yuan.
In the first half of December, the price of acrylonitrile, the upstream raw material of acrylic fiber, was stable. The price of the outer disk was running at 1440 U.S. dollars from late November to early December; the inner plate price also stabilized at 12,850 yuan. Recently, the prices of domestic acrylic fiber staples have been slightly consolidating. Since the multiparty agreement settles at the average price at the end of the month, the market price fluctuates little; the market trend of acrylic fiber tows fluctuates slightly; transactions in the renminbi cargo market are light, and there are few stocks available, and the scale is relatively large. Most of the spinners order directly to the agents, and the goods in the pre-Montreal bonded warehouse have been sold out. The current prices of new goods are slightly raised; the acrylic wool tops market is relatively stable, the price has been in a relatively stable state, and the downstream demand is tepid. The construction of the factory was normal, the proportion of processing increased, and the shipping speed was basically normal. The market of acrylic yarns was slightly consolidating, and the market did not usher in strong sales again as the temperature dropped.
It is expected that the prices of acrylic fiber and upstream and downstream series products will continue to maintain a slight consolidation trend in the near future, and the price of acrylic fiber tow will not fall sharply.